Category: 2020 US Election

Has News of Hunter’s Criminal Investigation Ripped the Bandaid Off an Already Festering Wound

Joe Biden’s team announced earlier this week that his son has been the target of a Department of Justice criminal investigation into his taxes. Most media outlets, having now decided to cover the 4-month-old story, are reporting it is even broader than taxes and is potentially looking at money laundering.

As discussed in a previous article, the timing of the press flood gate activation is intriguing on a number of levels. Only two months ago those same news platforms were branding any suggestion that Hunter was in some way tainted by any of the “fake news”, as Russian disinformation. Credibility will have been flung from newsroom’s open windows. Hypocrisy’s shrill whistle will drown out any protestations that they were merely keeping an election fair. The most important question is why now?

It’s a fair assumption that the incoming Harris administration has no more use for the aging Biden. They will most certainly see him as a potential road bump to a smooth rollout of a folder full of new policy and Executive Orders. They may also see a continued association with Biden and through him, his son, as severely damaging going forward, requiring a swift separation.

The old but new again Hunter investigation will certainly lead to the appointment of a Special Prosecutor. If appointed, Biden would fire a prosecutor at his peril. Not to mention the many public statements supporting the position when it was aimed at Trump. If one was appointed, the investigation would be a slow drip of revelations and ultimately court appearances by Hunter and potentially Joe Biden’s brother. As with Trump, coverage of the administration’s successes will be drowned out by negative unrelenting newsflow. With the Trump exit, CNN and the others will have to fill the void if they are to survive. If Biden is hoping they will continue to cover for him, its a huge roll of the dice.

If you can remember back to the beginning of this year; Trump was impeached for calling for an investigation of Hunter Biden. In light of this weeks revelations, it would appear warranted. It also calls into question the partisan vote to impeach Trump, the weak evidence produced at the hearings before the vote predicated on Hunter having done nothing wrong.

We may see calls for Joe to resign even before his inauguration from the Democrats. If he does leave office in the first 100 days, that will rightly call into question the legitimacy of the US election. Not to mention it may irreparably damage both the media and Democratic Party. The majority of Democrats are still middle of the road. Trump may have convinced them to ignore the loony left and vote to get the irritant out of office. When the Trump vacuum is filled with news of Biden corruption and policies which lurch the party to the left, we may well see a reaction by the centre and left of centre Democrats not too dissimilar to the Trump affect.

The other problem Biden has is that unlike Obama’s entrance to the Presidency where he had 70% approval nationally, Biden’s hovers around 50% and that was before the Hunter revelations. Starting from a deficit and standing under a thunderstorm is not an enviable position.

Biden’s Foreign Policy Team Will Be Firmly Fixated on China – The UK Will be Lucky to Get a Mention

There are two things that give us a clear indication of a Biden Administration’s focus on both trade and substantive foreign relationships. One historical and the other is taking form as I write. Historically, the Obama/Biden government focused on China as a worthy trade partner and currently, Biden’s China centric appointments to his foreign policy and trade team. Neither should give Europe or the post-Brexit UK any comfort.

As Vice President, Biden focused on China. He made multiple trips to Beijing. He frequently referred to these during his presidential campaign as being one of his core strengths in repairing the relationship with China, trampled on by Trump with tariffs and continued rhetoric painting China as an adversary.

The new Biden team is very pro-China. It consists of several former executives from American big tech who view the EU as a declining and increasingly regulatorily hostile environment.   China is the real prize for global tech players.   Presenting itself as sensible around regulations and market constraints, and the promise of exponential growth.

There is also the disparity in population.  Europe’s 385 million, after the UK’s departure, is less than a third of China’s 1.4 billion.  Britain’s 65 million one-twentieth the size.  Faced with spending time with a declining EU and a relatively small British market, Biden will most likely choose to allocate resources where he can get the most bang for the buck.  His focus on China will also be sharpened by the hundreds of millions that flowed into his campaign from US companies stroking Chinese market growth plans.  They will be looking for a return. 

There are the stories in the 70’s during the early stages of the common market, when American negotiators would take meetings with the then 250-million-person Europeans. Promising to pick up with the UK off the back of those meetings.  They never took place.  It may well be the turn of the EU to find that the excitement of a new market with significant growth opportunities will place them firmly outside a closed door.   The UK should be wondering if we will even be in the building.

Several articles have painted the President-Elect as a pragmatist.  If correct, Air Force One will be on the ground in Beijing early January.  

Biden Campaign Releases Statement on Hunter Investigation

President Elect Joe Biden with Hunter Biden

In life, timing is everything. Seems like years ago, but Twitter blocked news of Hunter Biden’s dealings in Ukraine and China a little more than a month ago. Joe Biden when asked a question about it said, “More than 50 former intelligence officials” say its Russian disinformation.

Today, not Hunter but Joe relaeased a statement which admits Hunter is under criminal investigation by the IRS. That’s a pretty gutsy move by a politicaly savy government department just ahaead of an election. The realease and subsequest coverage nalso begs the question as to where were the mainstream media when the China story broke?

The timing and widespread coverage without tech platform suppression is also interesting. A cynic might speculate that having dragged Biden across the line, it’s time to begin to the process of not allowing him off the train. Joe Biden will quickly become a problem for the Democrats once Trump leaves. Trump consumes 95% of the available oxygen when it comes to the news cycle. In about a month through the ex-president will head into an uncertain sunset. Biden, having been missing for almost a year from the public stage will now have to perform. Biden detractors will say he will now get real questions from a press desperate to report the news. That remains to be seen. What is certain is that Biden appears to be suffering from some form of cognitive disorder.

What is certain is that Hunter Biden is not being audited, he’s under criminal investigation. The other worrying statistic for Biden is that the IRS are rarely unsuccessful when they launch such investigations. The other unknown is whether the President-Elect will be dragged into Hunter’s problems. If he is, it will only throw gas on the already troubling fires around the legitimacy of his Presidency and American’s trust in their voting system.