Category: Political Comentary

At The Present Rate of Inoculation – It will Take At least 14 Years To Complete the Task

Number of Inoculations in a Week Heralded

The government announced this week that they had administered 138,000 Covid vaccinations in one week. To be fair, they are just getting started so that number should move up. The US Centres for Disease Control by comparison, is projecting 7 to 10 million people receiving the vaccine. Taken on its face. The UK rate of 138,000 compared to the US is pathetic. The media loves to compare raw data and ignore population size difference, so let’s be fairer. If we agree that the US population is roughly 5 times that of the UK, our rate of inoculation adjusted for the US population would be 685,000 per week. Roughly one-twelfth of the US rate. At our current rate of inoculation, it will take 14 years to administer a two-part Pfizer jab.

The Math

Let’s define our variables. Total UK population is 68 million. Roughly 16 million Brits are 17 or younger. That group will not initially receive the vaccine. Which leaves us with 52 million people who need the vaccine. Again, let’s keep this simple. It will take 377 weeks to administer fully the first of two inoculations needed for the Pfizer vaccine if it is to be effective.

If we translate that to years? More than seven to administer the first half of the Pfizer vaccine to the entire population. 14 years to complete the task. Let’s say the University of Oxford’s one-part vaccine is approved. Currently, there has been little news surrounding where it might stand other than positive sound bites from the company. For argument’s sake, let’s say it does. People will only need one jab, and let’s also assume we are able to quadruple our jabs per week. We are down to 94 weeks to complete inoculating everyone above the age of 17. Just shy of two years.

Hold on I hear people say. What about all those Pfizer folks that have already had a jab? They haven’t gone away. In fact, those who need the second jab will be at the front of the queue. It’s reasonable to assume it could take a month or two to work through that backlog if the Oxford vaccine became available today. Without a 30-day booster, the recipients of the first Pfizer jab start all over again. Either way, they are still in the count.

The Reality

It is unlikely that the NHS will have the internal capability to significantly increase the rate of patient flow related to administering the jab in the near term. They have few options that would allow that to happen which don’t require putting others in their care lives at risk. The NHS could do a number of things to free up capability to administer more jabs. They can ignore those presenting at A&E. They could cancel needed operations. Delay diagnostics for potential cancer patients and others with life-threatening conditions. There is any number of variables. All of them translates into pain, suffering and potential death for those they should be caring for.

In another post, I outlined a very effective way to administer the vaccine and free up the NHS to care for the patients who need it. If we don’t address this problem now, it is very likely we will still be talking about ways to get out from under the pandemic a year from now. Also, thousands will die needlessly, businesses will continue to close and we will have buried ourselves in a mountain of personal and national debt.

The Future?

The elephant in the room is how long will the jab be good for? Even scientists don’t know the answer to that question. What if we have to start all over again in six months?

Has News of Hunter’s Criminal Investigation Ripped the Bandaid Off an Already Festering Wound

Joe Biden’s team announced earlier this week that his son has been the target of a Department of Justice criminal investigation into his taxes. Most media outlets, having now decided to cover the 4-month-old story, are reporting it is even broader than taxes and is potentially looking at money laundering.

As discussed in a previous article, the timing of the press flood gate activation is intriguing on a number of levels. Only two months ago those same news platforms were branding any suggestion that Hunter was in some way tainted by any of the “fake news”, as Russian disinformation. Credibility will have been flung from newsroom’s open windows. Hypocrisy’s shrill whistle will drown out any protestations that they were merely keeping an election fair. The most important question is why now?

It’s a fair assumption that the incoming Harris administration has no more use for the aging Biden. They will most certainly see him as a potential road bump to a smooth rollout of a folder full of new policy and Executive Orders. They may also see a continued association with Biden and through him, his son, as severely damaging going forward, requiring a swift separation.

The old but new again Hunter investigation will certainly lead to the appointment of a Special Prosecutor. If appointed, Biden would fire a prosecutor at his peril. Not to mention the many public statements supporting the position when it was aimed at Trump. If one was appointed, the investigation would be a slow drip of revelations and ultimately court appearances by Hunter and potentially Joe Biden’s brother. As with Trump, coverage of the administration’s successes will be drowned out by negative unrelenting newsflow. With the Trump exit, CNN and the others will have to fill the void if they are to survive. If Biden is hoping they will continue to cover for him, its a huge roll of the dice.

If you can remember back to the beginning of this year; Trump was impeached for calling for an investigation of Hunter Biden. In light of this weeks revelations, it would appear warranted. It also calls into question the partisan vote to impeach Trump, the weak evidence produced at the hearings before the vote predicated on Hunter having done nothing wrong.

We may see calls for Joe to resign even before his inauguration from the Democrats. If he does leave office in the first 100 days, that will rightly call into question the legitimacy of the US election. Not to mention it may irreparably damage both the media and Democratic Party. The majority of Democrats are still middle of the road. Trump may have convinced them to ignore the loony left and vote to get the irritant out of office. When the Trump vacuum is filled with news of Biden corruption and policies which lurch the party to the left, we may well see a reaction by the centre and left of centre Democrats not too dissimilar to the Trump affect.

The other problem Biden has is that unlike Obama’s entrance to the Presidency where he had 70% approval nationally, Biden’s hovers around 50% and that was before the Hunter revelations. Starting from a deficit and standing under a thunderstorm is not an enviable position.